Germany climate policy

May 05, 2021

Germany's constitutional court: reincarnation under the climate veil of ignorance

In recognizing that the fiscal burdens from Germany’s ambitious climate policies pile up only after 2030, its Constitutional Court could spark a tectonic shift for future climate action.
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European households

Apr 29, 2021

European households: the double dividend of excess savings

In 2020, “excess savings” stood at more than EUR450bn, or over 4% of GDP, thanks to reduced spending on services amid renewed lockdowns.
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Global equity markets and inflation

Apr 26, 2021

Equity markets: In search of Goldilocks’ inflation

Several factors point to reflation in 2021-2022, with a temporary overshooting ahead in the US and the Eurozone. Is this good news for equity markets?
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Investment recovery in the US and Eurozone

Apr 22, 2021

Investment is back: Harder, better, faster, stronger?

In the short run, a demand catch-up and the reduction in spare capacities will drive a business investment recovery. But it could take up to four years to return to long-term growth trends.
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Apr 19, 2021

European corporates: Cash-rich sectors get richer

The Covid-19 crisis has pushed up cash concentration among European non-financial corporates.
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Inflation outlook for the US and Eurozone

Apr 15, 2021

Demystifying the four horsemen of the inflation apocalypse

We expect inflation will only stage a temporary overshoot in the US and briefly hit the ECB’s “below, but close to, 2%” target in the Eurozone in 2021
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Taper tantrum and Emerging Markets

Apr 12, 2021

Taper Tantrum in 2021-22: Beware of the TUCKANS

We find 7 Emerging Markets are particularly vulnerable to an eventual tapering of monetary policy by the US Fed.
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Apr 07, 2021

Unleashing excess foreign exchange reserves to boost growth in Latin America

In 2021, Latin American countries could be holding "excess" FX reserves of around 8.8% of GDP, with an opportunity cost to economic activity as high as 0.7% of GDP.
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Apr 06, 2021

Joe Biden's infrastructure plan: defying gravity

Biden’s USD2.3trn ‘Build Back Better’ plan represents the second stage of a three-phase stimulus rocket and will be a long-term driver of growth in the US.
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Result Count1927