Germany is Europe's largest economy and one of the world's biggest. In the past, the country was known as the engine of the European economy, but this has certainly not been the case in recent years. Germany was in recession at a time when Europe's average growth rate was rising only slightly.
Nor is Germany in the lead for the years ahead. With expected economic growth of +0.4% in 2025 and +0.9% in 2026, Germany is the lantern of the Eurozone's leading economic countries. Although the recession is on its way out, according to our research department, it will take years for Germany to regain its economic health. This will require drastic measures.
The main pillars of the German economy are under pressure:
- The export-oriented economy is increasingly confronted with protectionist measures implemented worldwide.
- The importance of German engineering power is diminished by the growing importance of data and software.
- Technological leadership has been eroded. Dominance is shifting to competitors such as China and the USA, who have a clear lead in artificial intelligence.
- Germany's industrial strength is suffering from the costly energy transition.
- Immigration, a possible solution to the demographic deficit (aging population, labor shortage), is fuelling political populism.